Friday, 21 April 2017

UK Construction Market Update - March

The ONS have released their Construction Output in Great Britain: February 2017 figures, showing that construction output fell by 1.7% compared to January 2017; however output grew by 1.5% on a quarter on quarter basis, making this the 4th consecutive period of growth. Substantiating this positive view the Glenigan Index March 2017 shows value of work starting on site in the 3 months to March was 2% higher than during the same period a year ago, and 2% higher than the final 3 months of 2016.

The latest Economic & Construction Market Review from Barbour ABI, shows all construction activity increased in February 2017 as new contracts awarded increased by 6.8% compared to January 2017. The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey reports that UK manufacturer’s export order books have risen to the highest level in over 3 years. And output growth rose at its quickest rate since July 2014 in the three months to March, as manufacturers anticipate that it will accelerate further over the coming months. And the CPA’s latest State of Trade Survey 2017 Q1, reports that construction product manufacturers showed an increase in sales and activity for Q1 2017, extending the industry’s growth period to 4 years

In contrast to this the Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI March 2017 report shows a slowdown in construction activity growth from February 2017. The Index registered 52.2 in March 2017, a slight decrease from 52.5 in February 2017, signalling the joint-slowest overall construction output since September 2016.

UK Construction PMI - March: 52.2

The CPA have published their Spring Forecast which predicts construction activity rising by 1.3% in 2017 followed by 1.2% in 2018 and 2.3% in 2019 with this mostly coming from house building and infrastructure.

Glenigan report that recent house price and property transaction data indicates activity remains firm in the general housing market, specifically with a positive outlook for private housing. The latest statistics from The DCLG for Help to Buy reports that since the launch of the equity loan scheme up to 31st December 2016, 112,338 properties were brought using the scheme totalling a £5.34bn worth of loans, with first time buyers accounting for 81% of purchases. Complementing the continuing growth of the housing sector.

The ONS reports that in January 2017 house prices grew by 0.8% for the month, and by 6.2% in the year to January, but still remains below the average annual house price growth of 7.4% seen in 2016.

The Halifax House Price Index reports in March 2017 house prices did not change compared to February, with annual house price growth falling to 3.8% from February’s 5.1%. However the Nationwide House Price Index reports that in March 2017 house prices were 0.3% lower than February and annual house price growth fell to 3.5% from the 4.5% seen in February.

Source: Competitive Advantage Consultancy Ltd